ForumHarness Racing: Handicapping and Gambling092824 Sat. NA Stakes Races

Please or Register to create posts and topics.

092824 Sat. NA Stakes Races

#1 · September 26, 2024, 6:44 PM

Bluuuuuto, why the early thread? Well for one, I'm skipping a likely rainy wet track with a skippy bunch of green babies tomorrow at The Red Mile on their stakes rich card.

The better reason is between The Red Mile, Dayton and Mohawk Saturday there are 32 stakes races to take a gander at (+9 t-bred stakes races) amongst other harness (& t-bred) horses I follow that will be landing in other races at these 3 tracks.

That's a lot!!!!!!!!!, better get a move on it........

Weather at Dayton and Red Mile are iffy possible rain and wet tracks, Mohawk looks clear and should be FAST. I'll be cherry picking my races, and update weather predictions / estimated track conditions.

Selections & Wagers will be posted before their respective races go off.

VGL2EV1!

Lonnie has reacted to this post.

What have others said about Blutarsky... (("Get away from me, and stay away from me!!" - Ex Girlfriend)) - (("Creeeeeepy" - Neighbor)) - (("Ughhhh...Jerk off, retard, loser." - Mother)) - (("Cheater, clown, a brown stain on this High School!" - Former Teacher)) - (("There are worst consequences to sex than STDs, abortion > BLUTO!"- Dad)) - (("He liked us probing him way too much, therefore we will not be abducting, he's all yours." - An Extraterrestrial))

#2 · September 27, 2024, 8:51 AM

Good luck!

Senator Blutarsky has reacted to this post.

#3 · September 27, 2024, 12:20 PM

Red Mile rained out. We all save money. 🙂

Lonnie and Senator Blutarsky have reacted to this post.

#4 · September 27, 2024, 1:56 PM

Quote from Purple Aura on September 27, 2024, 12:20 PM

Red Mile rained out. We all save money.

LOLOL

Senator Blutarsky has reacted to this post.

#5 · September 27, 2024, 7:05 PM

Extremely sad and concerning weather update. The rainfall starting from today continuing to by post time at these tracks tomorrow is estimated to be -

The Red Mile 2" rainfall

Churchill Downs 3" rainfall

Dayton Raceway 4" rainfall

To make matters worst, the temperature at these locations is not conducive to it drying out, just not high enough temps. Conditions are estimated to be at a minimal dangerous to impossible ie cancellations.

The 2 harness tracks have spectacular cards with many of the TOP 2yo - older, f,m,c,g,h - Pacers and Trotters in NA if not the world.

About 2 hours before the first race post time at each respective track tomorrow, I'm going to call the Red Mile, later in the day if not already cancelled check in on CD in Equibase "race day changes" and call Dayton Raceway too.

Presently, I'm going to be handicapping B @ A, Mohawk and Santa Anita all looking clear and FAST / FIRM.

#6 · September 27, 2024, 11:51 PM

I've looked over Mohawk, and not at all liking these baby stakes races, just no. However I am following an older horse in 2 level down top company, so he'll be a listed below. Mohawk figures to be FAST.

While I love a great many of the horses running at The Red Mile and Dayton tomorrow, I've put a moratorium on studying any of these races until I know if they are not going to be cancelled as it continues to rain and they were both cancelled today, one of them the whole card, the other after one race. Below, while I have listed horses for all 3 tracks, I follow these horses.

All below are horses in my virtual stable running again, tomorrow, and I took a peek at the races and they are in appropriate company, conditions, and I think will like the wet at the 2 US tracks if they are allowed to run:

The Red Mile

Race 4- #1 Caballero

Race 12- #1, Luke The Spook

Dayton

Race 9- #6, Always B Naughty

Mohawk

Race 5- #6, Mr. Ibiza N

Final selections, possible analysis because I may not have time, and wagers are all pending.

VGL2EV1!

#7 · September 28, 2024, 11:17 AM

I spoke with the Race Office at The Red Mile and while the final decision has not come down as to an official track condition, she said the track has been "packed", "the horseman are out there on it", that she feels they are definitely going to start racing and based on how the track holds up and any additional accumulation of rain if they'll make it to the end of the card is to be determined.

Trackmaster (past performances) notes horses histories on "Off" (wet) tracks, if they have had any experience on a wet track. What I've done is map out all the races at The Red Mile and Dayton of which every horse in that race has had at least one or more races over a "Off" track surface. I'll look at those races only unless the track condition changes to FAST, here they are below:

The Red Mile Races 1,6,7,8,12,13

Dayton Races 7,8,9,10,11,12

Red Mile (Selections)

Race 1- 5/14, half confidence at 14/5, and 145 box

(Burke now training the 5, they own too, all horses have fared well on a wet surface, and I tend to favor the inside)

Wagers attached, VGL2EV1!

Uploaded files:

Transactions_09282024.pdf

#8 · September 28, 2024, 2:17 PM

More wagers attached.

Some more Red Mile Selections:

The Red Mile

Race 6- 6/257 and reverse, box

Race 7- 1/58 and reverse

Race 8- 6

Race 12- 1/456 and reverse, 1/all and reverse

VGL2EV1!

Uploaded files:

Transactions_09282024-C.pdf

#9 · September 28, 2024, 4:01 PM

More wagers attached, just deciding if I'm going to study Dayton races 7-12.

VGL2EV1!

Uploaded files:

Transactions_09282024-E.pdf

#10 · September 28, 2024, 5:56 PM

These are the Dayton selections, below, attached are more wagers:

Dayton

Race 7- 3/15 and reverse

Race 8- 1/5678 and reverse

Race 9- 3/2678 and reverse

Race 10- 8/267 and reverse

Race 11- 1/35789 and reverse

Race 12- 5

VGL2EV1!

Uploaded files:

Transactions_09282024-G.pdf

Lonnie has reacted to this post.

Member Map

+Add location

Talking Horse Racing

092824 Sat. NA Stakes Races

Member Map

Members Online

Recent forum posts

Add a new location

Edit Location

Thank you!