Talking Horse Racing

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Complex Betting Strategy (Superfecta)

The SUPERFECTA is one of my favorite wager types, and I hope if it wasn't, it will soon be yours too.

Let's see the great benefits and characteristics of this wager:

Whether you're short stacked with cash or not, depending on the track you're looking at a minimum wager from .10, then .20, .50, 1.00.  Also if you have the only winning ticket, you sweep the pool.  Unlike multi-leg, it's one race and out - check the post-race pools it's formidably bet in comparison to its other competitive wager types.

But we knew all that, sure you did 🙂

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Let's start doing some math...

When you see for example a $28.60 payout for a .20 minimum wager, it may not sound so great but it's 28.60 divided by .20 = 143.  That means if you won a .20 straight superfecta bet that paid 28.60 you received 143-1 odds.  If you used 8 combinations there you divide 143 by 8 =17.875 is your odds, 17-1+ is not bad. 

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What kind of races should we look for to bet superfectas...

Small fields that have the wager.  Uh, yeah, some 5 horse fields you can bet the super.  So if you say well this is an easy race it's .20 sup 1/2/3/45 = .40 (2 combos).  Let's say that comes in and pays 3.00, well that doesn't seem like a lot of money.  Is it for a chalky chalk fest with no seeming value??

Because you got back 3.00 for a .40 bet = 7-1 odds.  What if you bet $20 as your base bet ($40 in total) and not .20 cents, well you'd get back $300.

Other type races:

Of course ones where you can eliminate horses.

Ones with solid 1/9, 1/5/ 2/5 odds etc horses so you start with a strong single, and start building a cold, semi cold ticket.  I've seen it and so have you, a 1/2 shot say wins and 3 horses in high double digit odds come 2nd 3rd and 4th and it pays $1000+.

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Let's say you have 2 long long shots you love how are you going to bet this and box them with everyone so no matter what as long as they both finish anywhere in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th spot you win.

Here's your algorithm:

Let's call the first long shot #1, the second long shot #2, and the ALL button X

Bets are in this format: first pos - second pos - third pos - forth pos

12 12 x x, 12 x 12 x, 12 x x 12, x x 12 12, x 12 x 12, x 12 12 x

It only took 6 wagers to do it!

Now this is an expensive bet in a 10 horse field, how much will it cost seeking out potential high hundreds or many thousands, total sweep payout for a minimum .20, let's see:

Each wager of the 6 will cost, $22.40.  Then 22.40 x 6 =$134.40

If your wagering platform offers the key box feature you can do it in ONE BET, .20 superfecta key box 12 12 x x!!!!!!!

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I'll see y'all hopefully at the IRS window 🙂

 

 

 

 

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Senator,

Nice post.  Would you only bet a superfecta where you can single one horse.  And would you then exclude the second and or third choice?

Senator Blutarsky has reacted to this post.
Senator Blutarsky
Quote from Lonnie on August 29, 2024, 7:15 AM

Nice post.  Would you only bet a superfecta where you can single one horse.  And would you then exclude the second and or third choice?

If in that instance if I did not like (via handicapping) any of those horses ie 2nd betting, 3rd betting choice of course it might be an option to toss them.  The goal as a handicapper is just like an owner of a horse, to limit exposure to expense, and maximize profit.  The reason I mention is because, if it deems necessary to do boxes, or alls, it has to potentially payoff otherwise DON'T BET THE RACE AT ALL.  Once you find you can use less combinations you can make your base bet higher, for example:

.20 super box 1234 = $4.80 or if I think the one horse (1) cannot lose and or will be a no worst than first or second I will do this, .40 sup 1/234 and 234/1/234/234 = $4.80 for both and my bet amount again doubled, it wins my payout doubled.

Here's a another attractive option, in the OPPOSITE DIRECTION OF STRATEGY what if, and this happens, you have no faith in the chalk, they're a breaker, you got some inside info they ain't as good as they look on paper, they're sore, that is attractive too, because now you can eliminate the horse that might have 50%-90%+ of all betting pool money bet on them including and not limited to the SUPERFECTA.

No matter what it always comes down to handicapping, but having no strategy, no self rules of betting engagement must stop - don't be a gambler, be a wagering predator, wait until opportunities come to you. 

Attempting to pick winners is half the battle, knowing how to bet, then minimizing exposure / maximizing potential winnings is the other half.

 

 

Lonnie has reacted to this post.
Lonnie
What have others said about Blutarsky... (("Get away from me, and stay away from me!!" - Ex Girlfriend)) - (("Creeeeeepy" - Neighbor)) - (("Ughhhh...Jerk off, retard, loser." - Mother)) - (("Cheater, clown, a brown stain on this High School!" - Former Teacher)) - (("There are worst consequences to sex than STDs, abortion > BLUTO!"- Dad)) - (("He liked us probing him way too much, therefore we will not be abducting, he's all yours." - An Extraterrestrial))

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