Talking Horse Racing

Please or Register to create posts and topics.

Handicapping Challenge #1

PreviousPage 4 of 4

Lonnie, my thought was the 3 would be super chalk he was the obvious choice, then all this money went down on the 5.  The 5 ran good, but him not winning was inevitable.  The 4 ml odds were 20-1, Wilder chose him and right move over the 2.

Based on contest rules if and wagering I was seeking value, but that 9-5 was shocking on Sambuca, and yes 1st and 3rd finish on bets.  But as a rule I always like to back contest selections with real wagers, same work.

One nice thing about gambling, in school you get 30% you are a failure.  In horse betting you get 30% (3 out of 10 races) of your tickets right at 500-600% returns on those, is very nice success.  The reason I bet the 4, I thought he had a chance and he was a value bet. I was wrong about Sambuca's final odds amongst other stuff.

Lonnie has reacted to this post.
Lonnie
What have others said about Blutarsky... (("Get away from me, and stay away from me!!" - Ex Girlfriend)) - (("Creeeeeepy" - Neighbor)) - (("Ughhhh...Jerk off, retard, loser." - Mother)) - (("Cheater, clown, a brown stain on this High School!" - Former Teacher)) - (("There are worst consequences to sex than STDs, abortion > BLUTO!"- Dad)) - (("He liked us probing him way too much, therefore we will not be abducting, he's all yours." - An Extraterrestrial))
Quote from Senator Blutarsky on August 30, 2024, 10:55 PM

Lonnie, my thought was the 3 would be super chalk he was the obvious choice, then all this money went down on the 5.  The 5 ran good, but him not winning was inevitable.  The 4 ml odds were 20-1, Wilder chose him and right move over the 2.

Based on contest rules if and wagering I was seeking value, but that 9-5 was shocking on Sambuca, and yes 1st and 3rd finish on bets.  But as a rule I always like to back contest selections with real wagers, same work.

One nice thing about gambling, in school you get 30% you are a failure.  In horse betting you get 30% (3 out of 10 races) of your tickets right at 500-600% returns on those, is very nice success.  The reason I bet the 4, I thought he had a chance and he was a value bet. I was wrong about Sambuca's final odds amongst other stuff.

It's a long contest (10 races), and if you connect on a long shot, as in life, it beats five to 10 chalk wins.  You took an educated guess.  It's not a bad way to approach this contest.

A contest like this doesn't measure gambling prowess, because you don't know what the actual odds a minute before post time will be.

Nine weeks to go!

PreviousPage 4 of 4

Member Map

+Add location
✕

Comments are closed.